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2024-12-13 04:54:49

The global central bank's big move at the end of the year is surging in the foreign exchange market, and the end of the year is approaching, and the global central bank has entered an intensive interest rate discussion cycle. In the next two weeks, monetary policy meetings of major central banks around the world will follow one after another-this week, many central banks including the European Central Bank, the Bank of Canada, the Reserve Bank of Australia, and the Swiss National Bank will announce interest rate resolutions; Next week, the Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan and the Bank of England will also take turns to stir up the market. This week, a number of central bank interest rate resolutions will be welcomed. According to the schedule, the Reserve Bank of Australia, the Bank of Canada, the Swiss National Bank and the European Central Bank will announce interest rate resolutions one after another this week.New york, CEO of United Health Insurance, was arrested in Pennsylvania, and a 26-year-old man was arrested in Altoona, Pennsylvania on Monday, while new york police regarded him as a suspect in the shooting of Brian Thompson, a joint health executive. The man, Luigi Mangione, was recognized by employees when he was eating in a local McDonald's restaurant. The police said that he had a declaration, multiple false identities, an untraceable so-called "ghost gun" and a silencer with him. Jessica Tisch, director of the new york Police Department, told a press conference that the documents found on the man showed his "motivation and mentality".In order to step up military operations against Syria and expand its long-term strategic advantage, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said in a speech on the 8th that the drastic changes in the situation in Syria have brought so-called new opportunities and challenges to Israel. The so-called opportunity, according to the analysis of Israeli and Arab media, Israel is taking this opportunity to strengthen and expand its occupation and control of the temporary border areas between the two countries, even on the Syrian side, so as to gain greater strategic advantages over Syria and neighboring countries in the long run. Secondly, Israel can further attack the military targets in Syria and weaken the overall military strength of Syria. Thirdly, Israel believes that the drastic changes in the Syrian situation have objectively blocked Iran's way of providing assistance to Hezbollah, seriously weakened Iran's influence in the region, and helped it to further exert pressure on Hezbollah and Hamas armed forces in Gaza.


Barclays: There is a high degree of uncertainty in the US interest rate forecast in 2025. Based on the baseline prospect of a soft landing of the US economy in 2025, Barclays interest rate strategists predict that the yields of 2-year and 10-year government bonds will close at 3.75% and 4.25% respectively next year, and the yield difference between 2s10s will widen by about 50 basis points. According to the report, interest rate cuts should push interest rates down, while longer-term yields are under pressure from factors such as rising neutral interest rates, high interest rate volatility, inflation risk premium and net bond expansion. But the incoming Trump administration will bring "great uncertainty".The overall scale of bonus ETF exceeds 71.1 billion yuan, leading the products to exceed 20 billion yuan. As the largest dividend ETF at present, the scale of Huatai Bairui bonus ETF rose to 20.121 billion yuan on December 6, becoming the first dividend ETF to exceed 20 billion yuan. According to the data, the product takes the dividend index of Shanghai Stock Exchange as the benchmark for performance comparison and adopts the investment strategy of complete replication method. As of December 9, the product had a floating profit of 18.21% during the year. According to incomplete statistics, as of December 9, 13 bonus ETFs have been newly established this year (excluding QDII funds, Hong Kong Stock Connect and other overseas products). On the whole, there are 37 bonus ETF products with a market size of 71.185 billion yuan. (Securities Daily)Colombia's interior minister said that the proposed $2.7 billion fiscal reform is not feasible, and a smaller amount is feasible.


Murdoch, a media tycoon, failed in his attempt to change the family trust. Edmund Gorman, a court Commissioner in Nevada, USA, concluded in a ruling filed on Saturday that Rupert Murdoch should not change his family trust and concentrate the control of his media empire in the hands of his son Lachlan, and that Murdoch showed "malice" in his efforts to modify the irrevocable trust. At present, the trust plan will distribute the control of the company to Rupert Murdoch's four children, Lackland, James, Elizabeth and Prudence, equally after his death.The application of AI continues to deepen and the prosperity of the sector continues to improve. Recently, a number of artificial intelligence companies have intensively released their latest products, and the related concept sectors in the A-share market are active. Analysts believe that overseas AI applications are growing strongly, and the growth potential of domestic AI applications is expected to explode. On the one hand, the performance of the core AI application companies in US stocks has grown rapidly, further strengthening the AI narrative logic; On the other hand, domestic AI application scenarios are more extensive and have achieved good application results in many fields such as education and office. It is suggested to focus on the growth and liquidity of domestic AI applications.WTI January crude oil futures closed up 1.17 USD, or 1.74% to 68.37 USD/barrel. Nymex January natural gas futures closed up 3.45% at $3.1820/million British heat.

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